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Fantasy football: start or sit?

predictapp gives you everything you need to set your lineup

How Start/Sit works

Pick two players for the same slot. The app compares the points it projects for each this week, with a floor (a bad day, 1 week in 10 below it) and a ceiling (a big day, 1 week in 10 above it), and says which it would start.

Compare two players in Start/Sit, freeFree accounts get three comparisons a week.

Top scorers in week 4

The top five at each position in week 4, PPR points

Quarterbacks

The top five at each position in week 4, PPR points
#PlayerPPR
1Drake Maye26.4
2Joe Burrow23.7
3C.J. Stroud23.1
4Kirk Cousins22.6
5Aaron Rodgers22.0

Running backs

The top five at each position in week 4, PPR points
#PlayerPPR
1Kyren Williams36.7
2Javonte Williams31.3
3Kenneth Walker III30.9
4Kyle Monangai28.0
5Bijan Robinson27.7

Wide receivers

The top five at each position in week 4, PPR points
#PlayerPPR
1Tetairoa McMillan45.2
2CeeDee Lamb41.3
3Nico Collins30.8
4Tyquan Thornton28.1
5Puka Nacua27.7

Tight ends

The top five at each position in week 4, PPR points
#PlayerPPR
1T.J. Hockenson24.9
2Sam LaPorta22.4
3Brock Bowers20.6
4George Kittle17.0
5Brenton Strange16.5

How the points are scored

Standard league scoring, from games already played. Every stat a league counts is counted here.

  • Passing yards: 1 point every 25
  • Passing touchdown: 4
  • Interception: -2
  • Rushing or receiving yards: 1 point every 10
  • Rushing or receiving touchdown: 6
  • Reception: 1 in PPR, 0.5 in half PPR, 0 in standard
  • Fumble lost: -2
  • Two-point conversion: 2

A lost fumble counts against the player carrying the ball on that play.

predictapp's projections in the app do not include fumbles or two-point conversions yet.

How close predictapp's projections have been

Tested on games the model had not seen: what it projected next to what happened, for players projected for a real role. The last column is how often the result landed inside the projected 80% range.

Projected and actual, by market
MarketThis seasonPlayer gamesProjectedActualInside the 80% range
Fantasy points, PPR, QB2022 to 20252,17315.2916.0775.9%
Fantasy points, PPR, RB2021 to 20253,65612.2112.6080.7%
Fantasy points, PPR, WR2021 to 20254,97912.1012.1178.7%
Fantasy points, PPR, TE2021 to 20251,17911.0910.9381.9%
See the full accuracy table
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