Washington Commanders: predictions, props and stats
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The Commanders are 1-3-1 through week 6, scoring 23.0 points a game and allowing 29.8.
Every table on this page is a result from games already played, not a prediction. predictapp's read on the next Commanders game is in the app.
Next game
Results and scoring
This season, through week 6
1-3-1, with 23.0 points scored and 29.8 allowed a game.
| Wk | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | vsGiants | 27-27 OT | Tied |
| 4 | vsColts | 13-30 | Lost |
| 3 | vsSeahawks | 33-31 | Won |
| 2 | @Cowboys | 20-37 | Lost |
| 1 | @Eagles | 22-24 | Lost |
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored a game | 23.0 | 20 |
| Points allowed a game | 29.8 | 23.1 |
| Average margin | -6.8 | -3.1 |
| Went to overtime | 20%1 of 5 | 6%28 of 435 |
Commanders against the spread
Since 2000 the Commanders have won by more than 3.5 points in 122 of 435 games, with an average margin of -3.1.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Won by 8 or more (covers -7.5) | 0%0 of 5 | 17%75 of 435 |
| Won by 4 or more (covers -3.5) | 0%0 of 5 | 28%122 of 435 |
| Won, or lost by 3 or fewer (covers +3.5) | 60%3 of 5 | 55%239 of 435 |
| Won, or lost by 7 or fewer (covers +7.5) | 60%3 of 5 | 68%294 of 435 |
Game totals in Commanders games
Since 2000, Commanders games have gone over 45.5 points in 183 of 435.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 30.5 points | 100%5 of 5 | 82%355 of 435 |
| Over 42.5 points | 100%5 of 5 | 49%211 of 435 |
| Over 45.5 points | 80%4 of 5 | 42%183 of 435 |
| Over 48.5 points | 60%3 of 5 | 34%148 of 435 |
| Over 50.5 points | 60%3 of 5 | 30%132 of 435 |
Commanders wins, home and away
Since 2000 the Commanders have won 179 of 435 games: 94 of 216 at home and 85 of 219 away.
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 20%1 of 5 | 41%179 of 435 |
| At home | 33%1 of 3 | 44%94 of 216 |
| Away | 0%0 of 2 | 39%85 of 219 |
Commanders points against team totals
Since 2000 the Commanders have scored more than 20.5 points in 186 of 435 games.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored over 14.5 | 80%4 of 5 | 73%318 of 435 |
| Scored over 20.5 | 60%3 of 5 | 43%186 of 435 |
| Scored over 24.5 | 40%2 of 5 | 28%121 of 435 |
| Scored over 27.5 | 20%1 of 5 | 17%73 of 435 |
| Scored over 30.5 | 20%1 of 5 | 13%55 of 435 |
Commanders passing
This season, through week 6
| Jayden Daniels | 3 | 46 | 78 | 459 | 3 | 0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Mariota | 3 | 33 | 51 | 340 | 4 | 0 |
| Athan Kaliakmanis | 1 | 15 | 33 | 186 | 1 | 1 |
Commanders rushing
This season, through week 6
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | RB | 5 | 67 | 239 | 2 | 53% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachaad White | RB | 4 | 29 | 118 | 0 | 28% |
| Jayden Daniels | QB | 3 | 20 | 204 | 2 | 5% |
| Kaytron Allen | RB | 4 | 12 | 41 | 0 | 12% |
| Austin Ekeler | RB | 2 | 7 | 28 | 0 | 17% |
| Marcus Mariota | QB | 3 | 5 | 51 | 0 | 3% |
| Athan Kaliakmanis | QB | 1 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 5% |
| Craig Reynolds | RB | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 10% |
Commanders receiving
This season, through week 6
| Stefon Diggs | WR | 31 | 18 | 170 | 3 | 24% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry McLaurin | WR | 27 | 14 | 203 | 1 | 23% |
| Antonio Williams | WR | 22 | 15 | 155 | 1 | 14% |
| Dyami Brown | WR | 15 | 8 | 88 | 0 | 9% |
| Chig Okonkwo | TE | 13 | 8 | 81 | 0 | 15% |
| Treylon Burks | WR | 11 | 5 | 86 | 2 | 10% |
| Rachaad White | RB | 10 | 10 | 53 | 1 | 8% |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | RB | 7 | 5 | 40 | 0 | 4% |
Who scores for the Commanders
This season, through week 6
| Stefon Diggs | WR | 0 | 3 | 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | RB | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Jayden Daniels | QB | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Treylon Burks | WR | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Terry McLaurin | WR | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Rachaad White | RB | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Antonio Williams | WR | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Commanders fantasy points
This season, through week 6
| Jayden Daniels | QB | 3 | 64.8 | 21.6 | 21.6 | 21.6 | 32.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefon Diggs | WR | 4 | 53.0 | 13.3 | 11.0 | 8.8 | 21.7 |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | RB | 5 | 44.9 | 9.0 | 8.5 | 8.0 | 14.2 |
| Terry McLaurin | WR | 4 | 42.3 | 10.6 | 8.8 | 7.1 | 19.7 |
| Antonio Williams | WR | 5 | 36.5 | 7.3 | 5.8 | 4.3 | 16.4 |
| Marcus Mariota | QB | 3 | 34.7 | 11.6 | 11.6 | 11.6 | 20.6 |
| Rachaad White | RB | 4 | 33.1 | 8.3 | 7.0 | 5.8 | 14.3 |
| Treylon Burks | WR | 4 | 25.6 | 6.4 | 5.8 | 5.2 | 11.7 |
| Chig Okonkwo | TE | 3 | 16.1 | 5.4 | 4.0 | 2.7 | 10.0 |
| Dyami Brown | WR | 5 | 14.8 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 9.5 |
| Athan Kaliakmanis | QB | 1 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 |
| Austin Ekeler | RB | 2 | 7.4 | 3.7 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 5.0 |
| John Bates | TE | 5 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 3.3 |
| Jaylin Lane | WR | 4 | 4.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 3.1 |
| Kaytron Allen | RB | 4 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.4 |
What the Commanders defense allows
A game, over its last 22 games. Rank 1 is the defense that allows the most.
How close predictapp's projections have been
Tested on games the model had not seen: what it projected next to what happened, for players projected for a real role. The last column is how often the result landed inside the projected 80% range.
| Market | This season | Player games | Projected | Actual | Inside the 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards, WR | 2021 to 2025 | 4,979 | 55.8 | 55.3 | 79.2% |
| Rushing yards, RB | 2021 to 2025 | 3,656 | 52.7 | 54.1 | 81.2% |
| Passing yards, QB | 2022 to 2025 | 2,173 | 221.1 | 223.7 | 81.2% |
| Receiving yards, TE | 2021 to 2025 | 1,179 | 47.6 | 46.7 | 82.1% |
Questions about the Commanders
How often do Commanders games go over 45.5 points?
In 183 of 435 games since 2000 (42%). Every total from 30.5 to 50.5 is counted in the total section of this page.
How often do the Commanders win at home?
They have won 94 of 216 home games since 2000 (44%), and 85 of 219 away.
How often do the Commanders score more than 20.5 points?
In 186 of 435 games since 2000 (43%).
Are the numbers on this page predictions?
No. They are results from games already played, and each section says which games it counts. predictapp's read on the next Commanders game is in the app.
What do I get with a free predictapp account?
Every stat, one reveal a day on a game you choose, and coaching from Dex. No credit card required.
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