Kansas City Chiefs: predictions, props and stats
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The Chiefs are 5-0 through week 6, scoring 28.0 points a game and allowing 16.6.
Every table on this page is a result from games already played, not a prediction. predictapp's read on the next Chiefs game is in the app.
Next game
Results and scoring
This season, through week 6
5-0, with 28.0 points scored and 16.6 allowed a game.
| Wk | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | vsChargers | 22-6 | Won |
| 4 | @Raiders | 30-27 | Won |
| 3 | @Dolphins | 24-10 | Won |
| 2 | vsColts | 33-30 OT | Won |
| 1 | vsBroncos | 31-10 | Won |
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored a game | 28.0 | 24.1 |
| Points allowed a game | 16.6 | 21.7 |
| Average margin | +11.4 | +2.4 |
| Went to overtime | 20%1 of 5 | 7%33 of 455 |
Chiefs against the spread
Since 2000 the Chiefs have won by more than 3.5 points in 206 of 455 games, with an average margin of +2.4.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Won by 8 or more (covers -7.5) | 60%3 of 5 | 31%139 of 455 |
| Won by 4 or more (covers -3.5) | 60%3 of 5 | 45%206 of 455 |
| Won, or lost by 3 or fewer (covers +3.5) | 100%5 of 5 | 70%319 of 455 |
| Won, or lost by 7 or fewer (covers +7.5) | 100%5 of 5 | 81%368 of 455 |
Game totals in Chiefs games
Since 2000, Chiefs games have gone over 45.5 points in 211 of 455.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 30.5 points | 80%4 of 5 | 84%380 of 455 |
| Over 42.5 points | 40%2 of 5 | 56%256 of 455 |
| Over 45.5 points | 40%2 of 5 | 46%211 of 455 |
| Over 48.5 points | 40%2 of 5 | 39%176 of 455 |
| Over 50.5 points | 40%2 of 5 | 36%164 of 455 |
Chiefs wins, home and away
Since 2000 the Chiefs have won 261 of 455 games: 150 of 234 at home and 111 of 221 away.
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 100%5 of 5 | 57%261 of 455 |
| At home | 100%3 of 3 | 64%150 of 234 |
| Away | 100%2 of 2 | 50%111 of 221 |
Chiefs points against team totals
Since 2000 the Chiefs have scored more than 20.5 points in 279 of 455 games.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored over 14.5 | 100%5 of 5 | 80%362 of 455 |
| Scored over 20.5 | 100%5 of 5 | 61%279 of 455 |
| Scored over 24.5 | 60%3 of 5 | 47%215 of 455 |
| Scored over 27.5 | 60%3 of 5 | 37%167 of 455 |
| Scored over 30.5 | 40%2 of 5 | 27%122 of 455 |
Chiefs passing
This season, through week 6
| Player | G | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | 5 | 105 | 159 | 1309 | 9 | 3 |
Chiefs rushing
This season, through week 6
| Kenneth Walker III | RB | 5 | 106 | 665 | 6 | 83% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmett Johnson | RB | 5 | 19 | 62 | 0 | 14% |
| Patrick Mahomes | QB | 5 | 11 | 65 | 1 | 1% |
Chiefs receiving
This season, through week 6
| Xavier Worthy | WR | 29 | 21 | 206 | 1 | 20% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Kelce | TE | 27 | 20 | 299 | 2 | 17% |
| Kenneth Walker III | RB | 23 | 14 | 95 | 2 | 15% |
| Rashee Rice | WR | 17 | 13 | 190 | 1 | 15% |
| Tyquan Thornton | WR | 15 | 11 | 219 | 2 | 13% |
| Noah Gray | TE | 11 | 9 | 114 | 0 | 8% |
| Jalen Royals | WR | 9 | 5 | 41 | 1 | 6% |
| Emmett Johnson | RB | 8 | 7 | 92 | 0 | 5% |
Who scores for the Chiefs
This season, through week 6
| Kenneth Walker III | RB | 6 | 2 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Kelce | TE | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Tyquan Thornton | WR | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Patrick Mahomes | QB | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Xavier Worthy | WR | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Jalen Royals | WR | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Rashee Rice | WR | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Chiefs fantasy points
This season, through week 6
| Kenneth Walker III | RB | 5 | 138.0 | 27.6 | 26.2 | 24.8 | 34.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | QB | 5 | 94.9 | 19.0 | 19.0 | 19.0 | 29.0 |
| Travis Kelce | TE | 5 | 61.9 | 12.4 | 10.4 | 8.4 | 25.1 |
| Xavier Worthy | WR | 5 | 47.6 | 9.5 | 7.4 | 5.3 | 14.3 |
| Tyquan Thornton | WR | 4 | 44.9 | 11.2 | 9.9 | 8.5 | 28.1 |
| Rashee Rice | WR | 4 | 38.0 | 9.5 | 7.9 | 6.3 | 15.8 |
| Emmett Johnson | RB | 5 | 22.4 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 3.1 | 8.8 |
| Noah Gray | TE | 5 | 20.4 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 8.3 |
| Jalen Royals | WR | 5 | 15.1 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 8.6 |
| Cyrus Allen | WR | 5 | 4.7 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 4.7 |
| Andrew Armstrong | WR | 1 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| Jake Briningstool | TE | 4 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.9 |
| Brashard Smith | RB | 4 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.4 |
What the Chiefs defense allows
A game, over its last 22 games. Rank 1 is the defense that allows the most.
How close predictapp's projections have been
Tested on games the model had not seen: what it projected next to what happened, for players projected for a real role. The last column is how often the result landed inside the projected 80% range.
| Market | This season | Player games | Projected | Actual | Inside the 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards, WR | 2021 to 2025 | 4,979 | 55.8 | 55.3 | 79.2% |
| Rushing yards, RB | 2021 to 2025 | 3,656 | 52.7 | 54.1 | 81.2% |
| Passing yards, QB | 2022 to 2025 | 2,173 | 221.1 | 223.7 | 81.2% |
| Receiving yards, TE | 2021 to 2025 | 1,179 | 47.6 | 46.7 | 82.1% |
Questions about the Chiefs
How often do Chiefs games go over 45.5 points?
In 211 of 455 games since 2000 (46%). Every total from 30.5 to 50.5 is counted in the total section of this page.
How often do the Chiefs win at home?
They have won 150 of 234 home games since 2000 (64%), and 111 of 221 away.
How often do the Chiefs score more than 20.5 points?
In 279 of 455 games since 2000 (61%).
Are the numbers on this page predictions?
No. They are results from games already played, and each section says which games it counts. predictapp's read on the next Chiefs game is in the app.
What do I get with a free predictapp account?
Every stat, one reveal a day on a game you choose, and coaching from Dex. No credit card required.
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