Atlanta Falcons: predictions, props and stats
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The Falcons are 2-4 through week 6, scoring 23.7 points a game and allowing 25.5.
Every table on this page is a result from games already played, not a prediction. predictapp's read on the next Falcons game is in the app.
Next game
Results and scoring
This season, through week 6
2-4, with 23.7 points scored and 25.5 allowed a game.
| Wk | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | vsBears | 23-31 | Lost |
| 5 | vsRavens | 23-30 OT | Lost |
| 4 | @Saints | 45-24 | Won |
| 3 | @Packers | 35-14 | Won |
| 2 | vsPanthers | 3-34 | Lost |
| 1 | @Steelers | 13-20 | Lost |
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored a game | 23.7 | 22.3 |
| Points allowed a game | 25.5 | 23.2 |
| Average margin | -1.8 | -0.8 |
| Went to overtime | 17%1 of 6 | 7%32 of 441 |
Falcons against the spread
Since 2000 the Falcons have won by more than 3.5 points in 157 of 441 games, with an average margin of -0.8.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Won by 8 or more (covers -7.5) | 33%2 of 6 | 23%101 of 441 |
| Won by 4 or more (covers -3.5) | 33%2 of 6 | 36%157 of 441 |
| Won, or lost by 3 or fewer (covers +3.5) | 33%2 of 6 | 60%266 of 441 |
| Won, or lost by 7 or fewer (covers +7.5) | 67%4 of 6 | 73%322 of 441 |
Game totals in Falcons games
Since 2000, Falcons games have gone over 45.5 points in 199 of 441.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 30.5 points | 100%6 of 6 | 86%378 of 441 |
| Over 42.5 points | 67%4 of 6 | 54%237 of 441 |
| Over 45.5 points | 67%4 of 6 | 45%199 of 441 |
| Over 48.5 points | 67%4 of 6 | 38%169 of 441 |
| Over 50.5 points | 50%3 of 6 | 34%151 of 441 |
Falcons wins, home and away
Since 2000 the Falcons have won 213 of 441 games: 117 of 220 at home and 96 of 221 away.
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 33%2 of 6 | 48%213 of 441 |
| At home | 0%0 of 3 | 53%117 of 220 |
| Away | 67%2 of 3 | 43%96 of 221 |
Falcons points against team totals
Since 2000 the Falcons have scored more than 20.5 points in 248 of 441 games.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored over 14.5 | 67%4 of 6 | 75%331 of 441 |
| Scored over 20.5 | 67%4 of 6 | 56%248 of 441 |
| Scored over 24.5 | 33%2 of 6 | 40%177 of 441 |
| Scored over 27.5 | 33%2 of 6 | 29%127 of 441 |
| Scored over 30.5 | 33%2 of 6 | 21%91 of 441 |
Falcons passing
This season, through week 6
| Michael Penix Jr. | 4 | 71 | 113 | 944 | 6 | 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Rush | 2 | 22 | 39 | 229 | 1 | 4 |
| Jack Strand | 1 | 8 | 15 | 59 | 0 | 1 |
Falcons rushing
This season, through week 6
| Bijan Robinson | RB | 6 | 111 | 641 | 4 | 68% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Robinson | RB | 6 | 53 | 211 | 4 | 31% |
| Michael Penix Jr. | QB | 4 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0% |
| Drake London | WR | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1% |
| Cooper Rush | QB | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 0% |
| Jack Strand | QB | 1 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0% |
Falcons receiving
This season, through week 6
| Drake London | WR | 47 | 31 | 550 | 0 | 29% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | RB | 27 | 20 | 144 | 1 | 18% |
| Jahan Dotson | WR | 22 | 11 | 236 | 2 | 14% |
| Kyle Pitts | TE | 22 | 15 | 169 | 3 | 13% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus | WR | 11 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 7% |
| Zachariah Branch | WR | 11 | 9 | 55 | 0 | 7% |
| Austin Hooper | TE | 8 | 6 | 46 | 1 | 5% |
| Brian Robinson | RB | 6 | 5 | 30 | 0 | 3% |
Who scores for the Falcons
This season, through week 6
| Bijan Robinson | RB | 4 | 1 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Robinson | RB | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Kyle Pitts | TE | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Jahan Dotson | WR | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Austin Hooper | TE | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Falcons fantasy points
This season, through week 6
| Bijan Robinson | RB | 6 | 128.5 | 21.4 | 19.8 | 18.1 | 35.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake London | WR | 6 | 88.4 | 14.7 | 12.2 | 9.6 | 28.4 |
| Michael Penix Jr. | QB | 4 | 64.7 | 16.2 | 16.2 | 16.2 | 23.1 |
| Brian Robinson | RB | 6 | 53.1 | 8.9 | 8.4 | 8.0 | 25.7 |
| Kyle Pitts | TE | 6 | 49.9 | 8.3 | 7.1 | 5.8 | 23.0 |
| Jahan Dotson | WR | 6 | 46.6 | 7.8 | 6.9 | 5.9 | 17.7 |
| Austin Hooper | TE | 6 | 16.6 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 9.1 |
| Zachariah Branch | WR | 6 | 12.5 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 3.5 |
| Olamide Zaccheaus | WR | 6 | 5.7 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 2.9 |
| Cooper Rush | QB | 2 | 5.2 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 5.7 |
| Chris Blair | WR | 6 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Charlie Woerner | TE | 5 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.3 |
| Jack Strand | QB | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Tua Tagovailoa | QB | 1 | -0.6 | -0.6 | -0.6 | -0.6 | -0.6 |
What the Falcons defense allows
A game, over its last 23 games. Rank 1 is the defense that allows the most.
How close predictapp's projections have been
Tested on games the model had not seen: what it projected next to what happened, for players projected for a real role. The last column is how often the result landed inside the projected 80% range.
| Market | This season | Player games | Projected | Actual | Inside the 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards, WR | 2021 to 2025 | 4,979 | 55.8 | 55.3 | 79.2% |
| Rushing yards, RB | 2021 to 2025 | 3,656 | 52.7 | 54.1 | 81.2% |
| Passing yards, QB | 2022 to 2025 | 2,173 | 221.1 | 223.7 | 81.2% |
| Receiving yards, TE | 2021 to 2025 | 1,179 | 47.6 | 46.7 | 82.1% |
Questions about the Falcons
How often do Falcons games go over 45.5 points?
In 199 of 441 games since 2000 (45%). Every total from 30.5 to 50.5 is counted in the total section of this page.
How often do the Falcons win at home?
They have won 117 of 220 home games since 2000 (53%), and 96 of 221 away.
How often do the Falcons score more than 20.5 points?
In 248 of 441 games since 2000 (56%).
Are the numbers on this page predictions?
No. They are results from games already played, and each section says which games it counts. predictapp's read on the next Falcons game is in the app.
What do I get with a free predictapp account?
Every stat, one reveal a day on a game you choose, and coaching from Dex. No credit card required.
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