Buffalo Bills: predictions, props and stats
predictapp gives you everything you need to bet smarter on the Bills
The Bills are 5-1 through week 6, scoring 32.8 points a game and allowing 28.5.
Every table on this page is a result from games already played, not a prediction. predictapp's read on the next Bills game is in the app.
Next game
Results and scoring
This season, through week 6
5-1, with 32.8 points scored and 28.5 allowed a game.
| Wk | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | @Raiders | 33-30 | Won |
| 5 | @Rams | 37-34 OT | Won |
| 4 | vsPatriots | 26-29 | Lost |
| 3 | vsChargers | 24-16 | Won |
| 2 | vsLions | 41-31 | Won |
| 1 | @Texans | 36-31 | Won |
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored a game | 32.8 | 22.3 |
| Points allowed a game | 28.5 | 21.9 |
| Average margin | +4.3 | +0.4 |
| Went to overtime | 17%1 of 6 | 6%26 of 442 |
Bills against the spread
Since 2000 the Bills have won by more than 3.5 points in 174 of 442 games, with an average margin of +0.4.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Won by 8 or more (covers -7.5) | 33%2 of 6 | 30%131 of 442 |
| Won by 4 or more (covers -3.5) | 50%3 of 6 | 39%174 of 442 |
| Won, or lost by 3 or fewer (covers +3.5) | 100%6 of 6 | 64%282 of 442 |
| Won, or lost by 7 or fewer (covers +7.5) | 100%6 of 6 | 75%331 of 442 |
Game totals in Bills games
Since 2000, Bills games have gone over 45.5 points in 187 of 442.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 30.5 points | 100%6 of 6 | 83%365 of 442 |
| Over 42.5 points | 83%5 of 6 | 53%236 of 442 |
| Over 45.5 points | 83%5 of 6 | 42%187 of 442 |
| Over 48.5 points | 83%5 of 6 | 36%161 of 442 |
| Over 50.5 points | 83%5 of 6 | 33%145 of 442 |
Bills wins, home and away
Since 2000 the Bills have won 223 of 442 games: 132 of 223 at home and 91 of 219 away.
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 83%5 of 6 | 50%223 of 442 |
| At home | 67%2 of 3 | 59%132 of 223 |
| Away | 100%3 of 3 | 42%91 of 219 |
Bills points against team totals
Since 2000 the Bills have scored more than 20.5 points in 241 of 442 games.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored over 14.5 | 100%6 of 6 | 74%328 of 442 |
| Scored over 20.5 | 100%6 of 6 | 55%241 of 442 |
| Scored over 24.5 | 83%5 of 6 | 39%174 of 442 |
| Scored over 27.5 | 67%4 of 6 | 31%136 of 442 |
| Scored over 30.5 | 67%4 of 6 | 25%110 of 442 |
Bills passing
This season, through week 6
| Player | G | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 6 | 114 | 174 | 1504 | 9 | 4 |
Bills rushing
This season, through week 6
| James Cook | RB | 6 | 117 | 627 | 6 | 76% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | QB | 6 | 40 | 248 | 8 | 16% |
| Ray Davis | RB | 6 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 4% |
| Ty Johnson | RB | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2% |
| DJ Moore | WR | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2% |
| Dawson Knox | TE | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| Frank Gore Jr. | RB | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3% |
Bills receiving
This season, through week 6
| Khalil Shakir | WR | 32 | 22 | 280 | 1 | 19% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Kincaid | TE | 30 | 23 | 315 | 1 | 18% |
| Keon Coleman | WR | 25 | 19 | 283 | 3 | 15% |
| DJ Moore | WR | 20 | 12 | 178 | 1 | 18% |
| James Cook | RB | 14 | 10 | 89 | 0 | 8% |
| Ty Johnson | RB | 12 | 12 | 155 | 0 | 12% |
| Josh Palmer | WR | 12 | 4 | 117 | 2 | 8% |
| Dawson Knox | TE | 10 | 8 | 36 | 1 | 7% |
Who scores for the Bills
This season, through week 6
| Josh Allen | QB | 8 | 0 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Cook | RB | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| Keon Coleman | WR | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Josh Palmer | WR | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Dalton Kincaid | TE | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Dawson Knox | TE | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Khalil Shakir | WR | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| DJ Moore | WR | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Bills fantasy points
This season, through week 6
| Josh Allen | QB | 6 | 162.1 | 27.0 | 26.9 | 26.8 | 41.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Cook | RB | 6 | 113.6 | 18.9 | 18.1 | 17.3 | 24.3 |
| Keon Coleman | WR | 6 | 65.3 | 10.9 | 9.3 | 7.7 | 23.6 |
| Dalton Kincaid | TE | 6 | 60.5 | 10.1 | 8.2 | 6.3 | 22.5 |
| Khalil Shakir | WR | 6 | 54.0 | 9.0 | 7.2 | 5.3 | 13.4 |
| DJ Moore | WR | 4 | 36.3 | 9.1 | 7.6 | 6.1 | 21.0 |
| Ty Johnson | RB | 4 | 28.1 | 7.0 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 11.2 |
| Josh Palmer | WR | 5 | 27.7 | 5.5 | 5.1 | 4.7 | 11.3 |
| Dawson Knox | TE | 6 | 17.6 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 8.5 |
| Ray Davis | RB | 6 | 8.2 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 4.3 |
| Frank Gore Jr. | RB | 2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
What the Bills defense allows
A game, over its last 23 games. Rank 1 is the defense that allows the most.
How close predictapp's projections have been
Tested on games the model had not seen: what it projected next to what happened, for players projected for a real role. The last column is how often the result landed inside the projected 80% range.
| Market | This season | Player games | Projected | Actual | Inside the 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards, WR | 2021 to 2025 | 4,979 | 55.8 | 55.3 | 79.2% |
| Rushing yards, RB | 2021 to 2025 | 3,656 | 52.7 | 54.1 | 81.2% |
| Passing yards, QB | 2022 to 2025 | 2,173 | 221.1 | 223.7 | 81.2% |
| Receiving yards, TE | 2021 to 2025 | 1,179 | 47.6 | 46.7 | 82.1% |
Questions about the Bills
How often do Bills games go over 45.5 points?
In 187 of 442 games since 2000 (42%). Every total from 30.5 to 50.5 is counted in the total section of this page.
How often do the Bills win at home?
They have won 132 of 223 home games since 2000 (59%), and 91 of 219 away.
How often do the Bills score more than 20.5 points?
In 241 of 442 games since 2000 (55%).
Are the numbers on this page predictions?
No. They are results from games already played, and each section says which games it counts. predictapp's read on the next Bills game is in the app.
What do I get with a free predictapp account?
Every stat, one reveal a day on a game you choose, and coaching from Dex. No credit card required.
NFL, team and player names are used for identification only and are trademarks of their respective owners. predictapp is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the NFL, any team or any player. The tables on this page are past results, not predictions. 18+.