New England Patriots: predictions, props and stats
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The Patriots are 4-2 through week 6, scoring 22.7 points a game and allowing 18.8.
Every table on this page is a result from games already played, not a prediction. predictapp's read on the next Patriots game is in the app.
Next game
Results and scoring
This season, through week 6
4-2, with 22.7 points scored and 18.8 allowed a game.
| Wk | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | vsJets | 26-19 | Won |
| 5 | vsRaiders | 45-17 | Won |
| 4 | @Bills | 29-26 | Won |
| 3 | @Jaguars | 6-35 | Lost |
| 2 | vsSteelers | 20-3 | Won |
| 1 | @Seahawks | 10-13 | Lost |
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored a game | 22.7 | 25.8 |
| Points allowed a game | 18.8 | 19.3 |
| Average margin | +3.8 | +6.6 |
| Went to overtime | 0%0 of 6 | 5%23 of 473 |
Patriots against the spread
Since 2000 the Patriots have won by more than 3.5 points in 264 of 473 games, with an average margin of +6.6.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Won by 8 or more (covers -7.5) | 33%2 of 6 | 42%197 of 473 |
| Won by 4 or more (covers -3.5) | 50%3 of 6 | 56%264 of 473 |
| Won, or lost by 3 or fewer (covers +3.5) | 83%5 of 6 | 75%354 of 473 |
| Won, or lost by 7 or fewer (covers +7.5) | 83%5 of 6 | 85%402 of 473 |
Game totals in Patriots games
Since 2000, Patriots games have gone over 45.5 points in 224 of 473.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 30.5 points | 67%4 of 6 | 85%403 of 473 |
| Over 42.5 points | 50%3 of 6 | 59%278 of 473 |
| Over 45.5 points | 33%2 of 6 | 47%224 of 473 |
| Over 48.5 points | 33%2 of 6 | 38%182 of 473 |
| Over 50.5 points | 33%2 of 6 | 35%164 of 473 |
Patriots wins, home and away
Since 2000 the Patriots have won 321 of 473 games: 179 of 246 at home and 142 of 227 away.
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 67%4 of 6 | 68%321 of 473 |
| At home | 100%3 of 3 | 73%179 of 246 |
| Away | 33%1 of 3 | 63%142 of 227 |
Patriots points against team totals
Since 2000 the Patriots have scored more than 20.5 points in 315 of 473 games.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored over 14.5 | 67%4 of 6 | 85%401 of 473 |
| Scored over 20.5 | 50%3 of 6 | 67%315 of 473 |
| Scored over 24.5 | 50%3 of 6 | 51%240 of 473 |
| Scored over 27.5 | 33%2 of 6 | 41%194 of 473 |
| Scored over 30.5 | 17%1 of 6 | 32%152 of 473 |
Patriots passing
This season, through week 6
| Drake Maye | 6 | 117 | 184 | 1463 | 11 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy DeVito | 1 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| Efton Chism III | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
Patriots rushing
This season, through week 6
| Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | 6 | 71 | 263 | 2 | 45% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TreVeyon Henderson | RB | 5 | 49 | 194 | 1 | 38% |
| Corey Kiner | RB | 6 | 31 | 138 | 0 | 20% |
| Drake Maye | QB | 6 | 26 | 195 | 1 | 4% |
| Efton Chism III | WR | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1% |
| Tommy DeVito | QB | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% |
Patriots receiving
This season, through week 6
| DeMario Douglas | WR | 30 | 20 | 233 | 3 | 17% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romeo Doubs | WR | 24 | 14 | 261 | 3 | 13% |
| Hunter Henry | TE | 24 | 19 | 225 | 2 | 14% |
| Mack Hollins | WR | 20 | 15 | 209 | 0 | 17% |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | 20 | 15 | 111 | 0 | 11% |
| A.J. Brown | WR | 14 | 6 | 53 | 0 | 23% |
| Efton Chism III | WR | 14 | 9 | 98 | 1 | 9% |
| Eli Raridon | TE | 12 | 9 | 112 | 1 | 8% |
Who scores for the Patriots
This season, through week 6
| Romeo Doubs | WR | 0 | 3 | 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMario Douglas | WR | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Hunter Henry | TE | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| TreVeyon Henderson | RB | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Drake Maye | QB | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Kyle Williams | WR | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Efton Chism III | WR | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Patriots fantasy points
This season, through week 6
| Drake Maye | QB | 6 | 112.0 | 18.7 | 18.7 | 18.7 | 39.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | 6 | 64.4 | 10.7 | 9.5 | 8.2 | 18.4 |
| DeMario Douglas | WR | 6 | 59.3 | 9.9 | 8.2 | 6.6 | 22.5 |
| Romeo Doubs | WR | 6 | 58.1 | 9.7 | 8.5 | 7.4 | 23.8 |
| Hunter Henry | TE | 6 | 53.5 | 8.9 | 7.3 | 5.8 | 14.8 |
| Mack Hollins | WR | 4 | 35.9 | 9.0 | 7.1 | 5.2 | 14.7 |
| TreVeyon Henderson | RB | 5 | 28.3 | 5.7 | 5.4 | 5.1 | 13.6 |
| Kyle Williams | WR | 6 | 26.7 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 18.1 |
| Eli Raridon | TE | 5 | 26.2 | 5.2 | 4.3 | 3.4 | 10.7 |
| Efton Chism III | WR | 5 | 25.6 | 5.1 | 4.2 | 3.3 | 12.2 |
| Corey Kiner | RB | 6 | 15.4 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 5.7 |
| A.J. Brown | WR | 2 | 11.3 | 5.7 | 4.2 | 2.7 | 5.7 |
| Lan Larison | RB | 1 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 2.9 |
| Reggie Gilliam | RB | 4 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.4 |
| Tommy DeVito | QB | 1 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
What the Patriots defense allows
A game, over its last 23 games. Rank 1 is the defense that allows the most.
How close predictapp's projections have been
Tested on games the model had not seen: what it projected next to what happened, for players projected for a real role. The last column is how often the result landed inside the projected 80% range.
| Market | This season | Player games | Projected | Actual | Inside the 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards, WR | 2021 to 2025 | 4,979 | 55.8 | 55.3 | 79.2% |
| Rushing yards, RB | 2021 to 2025 | 3,656 | 52.7 | 54.1 | 81.2% |
| Passing yards, QB | 2022 to 2025 | 2,173 | 221.1 | 223.7 | 81.2% |
| Receiving yards, TE | 2021 to 2025 | 1,179 | 47.6 | 46.7 | 82.1% |
Questions about the Patriots
How often do Patriots games go over 45.5 points?
In 224 of 473 games since 2000 (47%). Every total from 30.5 to 50.5 is counted in the total section of this page.
How often do the Patriots win at home?
They have won 179 of 246 home games since 2000 (73%), and 142 of 227 away.
How often do the Patriots score more than 20.5 points?
In 315 of 473 games since 2000 (67%).
Are the numbers on this page predictions?
No. They are results from games already played, and each section says which games it counts. predictapp's read on the next Patriots game is in the app.
What do I get with a free predictapp account?
Every stat, one reveal a day on a game you choose, and coaching from Dex. No credit card required.
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