NFL receptions: leaders and prop lines
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CeeDee Lamb leads the league with 37 receptions in 4 games, through week 4.
Receptions leaders
This season, through week 4
| CeeDee Lamb | WR | 4 | 37 | 9.3 | 32% | 100%4 of 4 | 100%4 of 4 | 100%4 of 4 | 75%3 of 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Olave | WR | 4 | 35 | 8.8 | 29% | 100%4 of 4 | 100%4 of 4 | 100%4 of 4 | 100%4 of 4 |
| Trey McBride | TE | 4 | 33 | 8.3 | 33% | 100%4 of 4 | 100%4 of 4 | 100%4 of 4 | 100%4 of 4 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | 4 | 32 | 8 | 37% | 100%4 of 4 | 100%4 of 4 | 100%4 of 4 | 75%3 of 4 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | 4 | 31 | 7.8 | 29% | 100%4 of 4 | 100%4 of 4 | 75%3 of 4 | 75%3 of 4 |
| Tetairoa McMillan | WR | 4 | 26 | 6.5 | 27% | 100%4 of 4 | 75%3 of 4 | 75%3 of 4 | 25%1 of 4 |
| Michael Wilson | WR | 4 | 25 | 6.3 | 29% | 100%4 of 4 | 75%3 of 4 | 75%3 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 |
| Tee Higgins | WR | 4 | 25 | 6.3 | 25% | 100%4 of 4 | 100%4 of 4 | 75%3 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 |
| Garrett Wilson | WR | 4 | 24 | 6 | 28% | 100%4 of 4 | 100%4 of 4 | 75%3 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 |
| Tyler Warren | TE | 4 | 23 | 5.8 | 22% | 100%4 of 4 | 100%4 of 4 | 75%3 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 |
| Carnell Tate | WR | 4 | 22 | 5.5 | 30% | 100%4 of 4 | 100%4 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 |
| Davante Adams | WR | 4 | 22 | 5.5 | 25% | 100%4 of 4 | 100%4 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 |
| Isaiah Likely | TE | 4 | 22 | 5.5 | 31% | 100%4 of 4 | 75%3 of 4 | 75%3 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | 4 | 22 | 5.5 | 18% | 100%4 of 4 | 100%4 of 4 | 75%3 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 |
| Sam LaPorta | TE | 4 | 22 | 5.5 | 19% | 100%4 of 4 | 100%4 of 4 | 75%3 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 |
| T.J. Hockenson | TE | 4 | 22 | 5.5 | 24% | 100%4 of 4 | 75%3 of 4 | 25%1 of 4 | 25%1 of 4 |
| Chase Brown | RB | 4 | 21 | 5.3 | 15% | 100%4 of 4 | 75%3 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 | 25%1 of 4 |
| Dalton Schultz | TE | 4 | 21 | 5.3 | 17% | 100%4 of 4 | 75%3 of 4 | 25%1 of 4 | 25%1 of 4 |
| Devaughn Vele | WR | 4 | 21 | 5.3 | 18% | 100%4 of 4 | 100%4 of 4 | 75%3 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 |
| Ja'Marr Chase | WR | 4 | 21 | 5.3 | 20% | 100%4 of 4 | 75%3 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 |
| Juwan Johnson | TE | 4 | 21 | 5.3 | 16% | 100%4 of 4 | 100%4 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 |
| Kalif Raymond | WR | 4 | 21 | 5.3 | 20% | 100%4 of 4 | 75%3 of 4 | 75%3 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 |
| Kyren Williams | RB | 4 | 21 | 5.3 | 15% | 100%4 of 4 | 75%3 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 |
| Christian Watson | WR | 4 | 20 | 5 | 22% | 100%4 of 4 | 100%4 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 |
| Drake London | WR | 4 | 20 | 5 | 27% | 100%4 of 4 | 75%3 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 | 25%1 of 4 |
| Michael Mayer | TE | 4 | 20 | 5 | 17% | 100%4 of 4 | 100%4 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 |
| RJ Harvey | RB | 3 | 20 | 6.7 | 21% | 100%3 of 3 | 100%3 of 3 | 67%2 of 3 | 67%2 of 3 |
| Ashton Jeanty | RB | 4 | 19 | 4.8 | 19% | 100%4 of 4 | 100%4 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 |
| DeVonta Smith | WR | 3 | 19 | 6.3 | 33% | 100%3 of 3 | 100%3 of 3 | 67%2 of 3 | 67%2 of 3 |
| Luther Burden III | WR | 4 | 19 | 4.8 | 24% | 100%4 of 4 | 100%4 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 | 25%1 of 4 |
| George Pickens | WR | 4 | 18 | 4.5 | 20% | 100%4 of 4 | 75%3 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 |
| Jalen Coker | WR | 3 | 18 | 6 | 21% | 100%3 of 3 | 67%2 of 3 | 67%2 of 3 | 67%2 of 3 |
| Malik Nabers | WR | 4 | 18 | 4.5 | 24% | 75%3 of 4 | 75%3 of 4 | 75%3 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 |
| Mark Andrews | TE | 4 | 18 | 4.5 | 24% | 100%4 of 4 | 100%4 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 | 25%1 of 4 |
| Matthew Golden | WR | 4 | 18 | 4.5 | 24% | 100%4 of 4 | 100%4 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 | 25%1 of 4 |
| Stefon Diggs | WR | 4 | 18 | 4.5 | 24% | 100%4 of 4 | 100%4 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 | 0%0 of 4 |
| Zay Flowers | WR | 3 | 18 | 6 | 30% | 100%3 of 3 | 100%3 of 3 | 100%3 of 3 | 33%1 of 3 |
| Harold Fannin Jr. | TE | 4 | 17 | 4.3 | 20% | 100%4 of 4 | 75%3 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 | 25%1 of 4 |
| Josh Downs | WR | 4 | 17 | 4.3 | 22% | 100%4 of 4 | 75%3 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 | 25%1 of 4 |
| KC Concepcion | WR | 4 | 17 | 4.3 | 24% | 100%4 of 4 | 75%3 of 4 | 50%2 of 4 | 25%1 of 4 |
All 32 teams
This season, through week 4
Each team's receptions a game. Every team links to its page.
| 1 | Saints | 30.3 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bengals | 28 |
| 3 | Lions | 27.3 |
| 4 | Cowboys | 26.3 |
| 5 | Cardinals | 25.8 |
| 6 | Panthers | 25.3 |
| 6 | Rams | 25.3 |
| 8 | Texans | 23.3 |
| 8 | Raiders | 23.3 |
| 10 | Bears | 22.5 |
| 11 | Steelers | 22 |
| 12 | Packers | 21.8 |
| 13 | Jets | 21.3 |
| 14 | Colts | 21 |
| 15 | Chiefs | 20.5 |
| 16 | Browns | 20.3 |
| 16 | Broncos | 20.3 |
| 16 | Seahawks | 20.3 |
| 19 | Buccaneers | 20 |
| 20 | Bills | 19.8 |
| 20 | 49ers | 19.8 |
| 22 | Commanders | 19.5 |
| 23 | Patriots | 19.3 |
| 24 | Ravens | 19 |
| 25 | Titans | 18.8 |
| 26 | Jaguars | 18 |
| 27 | Chargers | 17.8 |
| 28 | Giants | 17.3 |
| 29 | Vikings | 17 |
| 29 | Eagles | 17 |
| 31 | Falcons | 15.8 |
| 32 | Dolphins | 14.5 |
How close predictapp's projections have been
Tested on games the model had not seen: what it projected next to what happened, for players projected for a real role. The last column is how often the result landed inside the projected 80% range.
| Market | This season | Player games | Projected | Actual | Inside the 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions, RB | 2021 to 2025 | 3,656 | 2.33 | 2.41 | 81.0% |
| Receptions, WR | 2021 to 2025 | 4,979 | 4.40 | 4.33 | 80.5% |
| Receptions, TE | 2021 to 2025 | 1,179 | 4.36 | 4.28 | 82.1% |
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