NFL moneyline: who wins, and every team
predictapp gives you everything you need to bet smarter on the NFL moneyline
Since 2000, the home team won 3803 of 6811 NFL games. This season: 46 of 92.
How often the home team wins
This season, through week 6
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| The home team won | 50%46 of 92 | 56%3803 of 6811 |
Every team's wins
All 32 teams. Each links to its own page, where every line is counted.
| Chiefs | 100%5 of 5 | 57%261 of 455 |
|---|---|---|
| Vikings | 100%5 of 5 | 53%233 of 441 |
| 49ers | 100%5 of 5 | 50%227 of 451 |
| Bills | 83%5 of 6 | 50%223 of 442 |
| Patriots | 67%4 of 6 | 68%321 of 473 |
| Steelers | 67%4 of 6 | 62%284 of 457 |
| Packers | 67%4 of 6 | 61%279 of 460 |
| Ravens | 67%4 of 6 | 60%274 of 459 |
| Broncos | 67%4 of 6 | 55%243 of 445 |
| Bears | 67%4 of 6 | 47%205 of 438 |
| Jaguars | 67%4 of 6 | 40%174 of 436 |
| Browns | 67%4 of 6 | 35%149 of 431 |
| Bengals | 60%3 of 5 | 46%203 of 439 |
| Panthers | 60%3 of 5 | 45%200 of 442 |
| Lions | 60%3 of 5 | 40%172 of 433 |
| Seahawks | 50%3 of 6 | 57%263 of 458 |
| Giants | 50%3 of 6 | 46%204 of 445 |
| Raiders | 50%3 of 6 | 39%171 of 436 |
| Eagles | 33%2 of 6 | 59%275 of 463 |
| Colts | 33%2 of 6 | 57%261 of 454 |
| Saints | 33%2 of 6 | 54%243 of 446 |
| Cowboys | 33%2 of 6 | 52%230 of 441 |
| Rams | 33%2 of 6 | 48%218 of 450 |
| Falcons | 33%2 of 6 | 48%213 of 441 |
| Texans | 33%2 of 6 | 45%183 of 411 |
| Jets | 33%2 of 6 | 42%184 of 439 |
| Cardinals | 33%2 of 6 | 42%182 of 437 |
| Commanders | 20%1 of 5 | 41%179 of 435 |
| Titans | 17%1 of 6 | 47%208 of 441 |
| Buccaneers | 17%1 of 6 | 47%207 of 444 |
| Chargers | 0%0 of 6 | 50%220 of 442 |
| Dolphins | 0%0 of 5 | 47%204 of 433 |
How predictapp's model has done here
Each row is a confidence band: what the model said on average, and in how many finished games it happened.
| Confidence | predictapp said | Happened |
|---|---|---|
| 50-60% | 55% | 55%1027 of 1871 |
| 60-70% | 65% | 65%1031 of 1591 |
| 70-80% | 74% | 74%802 of 1080 |
| 80-90% | 84% | 82%344 of 420 |
Questions
How often does the home team win in the NFL?
In 3803 of 6811 games since 2000 (56%), and 46 of 92 this season.
Does predictapp pick winners?
No. In the app it shows the probability of each side winning and the fair price, so you make the call.
NFL, team and player names are used for identification only and are trademarks of their respective owners. predictapp is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the NFL, any team or any player. The tables on this page are past results, not predictions. 18+.